Bloomberg News
written by Onur Ant
Thursday February 27, 2020
Turkey and Russia are inching toward direct confrontation in Syria after an attack on Turkish positions in the war-torn nation killed at least 33 Turkish soldiers on Thursday.
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan held a crisis meeting with his top security officials after Turkey’s military suffered its biggest single-day losses in an airstrike on their forces in Syria. Turkey will hit “all regime targets” using ground and air forces in retaliation, Erdogan’s office said after the meeting. As the toll of soldiers killed in the ambush rose, 32 others were wounded NTV reported on Friday, citing Rahmi Dogan, governor of Turkish border city Hatay.
Turkey repeated calls upon Western allies for backing in the wake of Thursday’s clashes, with Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu speaking to NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg. Turkey has urged the U.S. and EU powers to increase their support in the face of attacks on Turkish soldiers by Syrian forces operating under Russian air cover. But Erdogan’s efforts to drum up aid from his NATO partners that could strengthen his position have come to naught as he’s tried to persuade Russia’s Vladimir Putin to drop support for the regime in Damascus.
At stake is not only Turkey’s national security but also millions of Syrians who are likely to seek refuge in Turkey and in Europe as they escape Idlib, the last rebel stronghold in Syria. The latest attack makes it even more difficult for Turkey to prevent Syrian migrants from seeking refuge elsewhere, a senior Erdogan ally said, signaling growing frustration with European inaction.
“Major escalation,” Tim Ash, a strategist at BlueBay Asset Management in London, said after Thursday’s clashes. “Turkey and Russia could be on the brink of actual war. It has been coming for a while. Where is NATO?”
Crisis Meeting
Erdogan met with his Defense Minister Hulusi Akar and top security officials from the military and intelligence agency for two hours following the clashes. Earlier in the day, Turkey said the rebels it supports retook the town of Saraqib from Syrian regime forces. After the meeting, Akar and the military’s top brass traveled to the Syrian border, NTV said.
Turkish soldiers were stationed at several outposts in Idlib under a 2017 agreement with Russia and Iran to monitor a combat-free zone. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s forces have intensified attacks on rebel positions in the province in recent weeks, with some Turkish posts having been encircled.
Erdogan has pledged to push back Syrian forces should they fail to lift their siege on Turkish posts by the end of this month and lobbied U.S and European powers to bring pressure to bear on both Syria and Russia. Turkey has asked the U.S. to deploy Patriot missiles on the border with Syria to deter Russian air forces operating around Idlib, though Erdogan has already acknowledged that his request from the U.S. isn’t likely to be fulfilled.
Refugee Exodus
Since the U.S. withdrew its forces in October, Syria has become a big-power struggle between Russia and Turkey, which maintains NATO’s second-largest army, and Thursday’s attack raises the stakes significantly.
Turkey, already the biggest host of refugees with more than 3.5 million Syrians accepted, says it can’t take any more if the Russian-backed attacks in Idlib unleash another wave. Hundreds of thousands are already on the move toward Turkey and the total number could exceed 2 million, Erdogan has said.
Europe, and Germany in particular, will be watching developments with growing alarm. The prospect of Turkey waving through a flood of Syrian refugees through its borders is precisely what Chancellor Angela Merkel had hoped to avert and will further stoke anti-immigrant populist sentiment across the continent.
Her open-door policy to Syria refugees back in 2015 fatally weakened her 15-year hold on power and unleashed the country’s far-right forces. Germany is now in the throes of a political battle where the pressure is building to take the country in a more conservative direction.
Within hours of Thursday’s attack, spokesman of Erdogan’s ruling party Omer Celik said Turkey’s policy on Syrian refugees remains unchanged but that it’s getting increasingly difficult to “hold” them.
— Louis Fishman (@Istanbultelaviv) February 27, 2020I've covered Turkey for 20 years. Its hard to grasp what's happened tonight. It seems to be a total breakdown of Turkish foreign policy, a domestic issue unlike it, leaving a country sad, angry+confused. And, still fears+chatter of number of soldiers killed rising. Just terrible.
Now official number is 33 soldiers killed. The numbers are being slowly dripped to the public and some place the number higher than this. Currently 4:15 AM, Turkey will be awaking to a new day soon, and people are going to want answers from a gov that got them into this quagmire.— Louis Fishman (@Istanbultelaviv) February 28, 2020
A group of people protested outside the Russian Consulate General in Istanbul against an attack that targeted Turkish troops in northwestern Idlib, Syria https://t.co/TYlraOasA4 pic.twitter.com/WSXxs45wnN— ANADOLU AGENCY (ENG) (@anadoluagency) February 28, 2020
Russia-Turkey are on the verge of war. 22 Turkish soldiers were killed with some reports being higher after reports that Russian forces fired on Turkish soldiers in Idlib. There is also an unconfirmed report that Turkey has told the Russian ambassador to leave. Will update https://t.co/jgLQxiUuLt— Olga Lautman (@olgaNYC1211) February 27, 2020
NATO Article 5 is limited geographically to attacks on member states' territories. If Russia attacked Turkish forces, it happened in Syria - not inside Turkey. Ankara could call for Article 4 consultations, as it did in 2015. https://t.co/Jqbi9T11m8— Amanda Sloat (@A_Sloat) February 27, 2020
Article 4 has been triggered by Turkey as United States is discussing response to Russian airstrikes on NATO Turkish soldiers. The question is if article 5 will be triggered. NATO has only invoked Article 5 1x in history—in response to the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001— AS-Source News (@ASBreakingNews) February 27, 2020
Article 4 pretty much means that the country feels its territorial integrity or political independence / national security is threatened. It triggers a consultation over military matters. From there on, next step is article 5 if such decision is reached. (Highly unlikely)— AS-Source News (@ASBreakingNews) February 27, 2020
Plus activating article 5 would instantly start a war with Russian and China — NATO knows better than that. Nothing will come out of this other than strong words our of Erdogans mouth and a few more tank convoys sent to Syria.— AS-Source News (@ASBreakingNews) February 27, 2020
Why are Turkish troops even in Syria? Few outlets will acknowledge that they’re trying to protect the rule of the Al Qaeda offshoot that controls Idlib. Watch my recent interview w/ @RealScottRitter for @TheGrayzoneNews : https://t.co/yy5VgPczfp— Aaron Maté (@aaronjmate) February 27, 2020
Turkey was supposed to open M-5 & M-4 under Sochi agreement,for 2 years they didnt, instead they increased their supply for terrorists in Idlib.— Ali (@CoolHuh_) February 27, 2020
Now SAA is opening it by force, Turkey is stopping in the way & was warned more than one time to not attack us, but they didn't listen.
What's happening is Erdogan fault, don't make commitments you can't do and don't stop in SAA way liberating their own land.— Ali (@CoolHuh_) February 27, 2020
He is sacrificing Turkish young men to save Al-Qaida ass in Idlib, but we won't allow this.
Note that we have alot of Turkish OPs besieged & under our fire but we didn't attack them, we attacked the one who opened fire at us.— Ali (@CoolHuh_) February 27, 2020
Syrian MoD statement was clear: do not attack us or we will respond.
But Erdogan is an arrogant, he only understand forcehttps://t.co/wZFZZsHlfR
You are right. Turkey was trying to act as ottomans. The got theirs ass punctured.— Abhinav kashyap (@Abhinav47709913) February 28, 2020
Daily Sabah News, Turkey
written by DS Staff and wires
Friday February 28, 2020
Turkey early Friday carried out missile attacks on targets in Syria's central Hama, northwestern towns of Nubl and Zahraa, as well as in regime and Russian bastion, Latakia, in response to the Assad regime airstrike that killed 22 Turkish soldiers.
The military also pounded Assad regime targets with artillery along the frontline in Idlib.
Earlier in the day, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan convened an emergency meeting over tensions in the war-ravaged Syrian city.
Security sources told Daily Sabah that all ministers and senior officials, including the National Intelligence Organization (MİT) chief Hakan Fidan, were present in the meeting.
Meanwhile, the Directorate of Communications released a statement on the Turkish offensive against Syrian regime forces.
It said Turkish forces have neutralized at least 1,709 Assad regime soldiers, as well as 55 tanks, three helicopters, 18 armored vehicles, 29 howitzers, 21 military vehicles, six ammunition depots, seven mortars and four Soviet-made DShK heavy machine guns.
In September 2018, Turkey and Russia agreed to turn Idlib into a de-escalation zone, in which acts of aggression are expressly prohibited.
But more than 1,300 civilians have been killed in attacks by the regime and Russian forces in the de-escalation zone since then as the cease-fire continues to be violated.
More than 1 million Syrians have moved near the Turkish border due to some intense attacks.
BREAKING: Turkey reportedly will open the Syria border for free passage and won’t stop Syrian refugees from going to Europe - @ragipsoylu— Conflict News (@Conflicts) February 27, 2020
Turkey is considering opening the Syrian border to as many as 2 million displaced Syrians who are trapped there. It would also open up the refugee route to Europe. Up to 5 million Syrians could end up heading there. https://t.co/RblYtU1p5G— Liz Sly (@LizSly) February 27, 2020
Daily Sabah News, Turkey
written by DS Staff and Reuters
Friday February 28, 2020
Turkey has decided to no longer stop Syrian refugees from reaching Europe by land and sea, a senior Turkish official told Reuters on Thursday, in anticipation of the imminent arrival of refugees from Syria's Idlib where nearly a million have been displaced.
Turkish police, coast guard and border security officials have been ordered to stand down, the Turkish official added.
Earlier on Thursday, border town Hatay's governor Rahmi Doğan said that an Assad regime attack on Turkish military in Idlib killed twenty-two soldiers.
Earlier on the same day President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan convened an emergency meeting over tensions in the war-ravaged Syrian city.
Security sources told Daily Sabah that all ministers and senior officials, including the National Intelligence Organization (MİT) chief Hakan Fidan, were present in the meeting.
Meanwhile, the Directorate of Communications released a statement on the Turkish offensive against Syrian regime forces.
It said Turkish forces have neutralized at least 1,709 Assad regime soldiers, as well as 55 tanks, three helicopters, 18 armored vehicles, 29 howitzers, 21 military vehicles, six ammunition depots, seven mortars and four Soviet-made DShK heavy machine guns.
In September 2018, Turkey and Russia agreed to turn Idlib into a de-escalation zone, in which acts of aggression are expressly prohibited.
But more than 1,300 civilians have been killed in attacks by the regime and Russian forces in the de-escalation zone since then as the cease-fire continues to be violated.
More than 1 million Syrians have moved near the Turkish border due to some intense attacks.
UPDATE - #Turkey now confirming 33 dead in tonight's strike (by #Russia, not #Syria) in #Idlib.— Charles Lister (@Charles_Lister) February 28, 2020
Meanwhile a batch of refugees were permitted to leave NW #Turkey towards #Greece/#Bulgaria.
Gathering from footage released by #Turkey showing UAV precision strikes on #Assad forces in #Idlib in recent weeks, estimates of #Syria losses - manpower & armor - based on opposition footage need expanding significantly.— Charles Lister (@Charles_Lister) February 28, 2020
~100 killed & dozens of tanks, APCs, pick-ups destroyed. pic.twitter.com/Si1b8jGED9
UPDATE 2/27/20 at 8:03pm: Added info below.#pt: 1 million people, including 600,000 kids, with the clothes on their back & some blankets, if they're lucky. In the winter.— Charles Lister (@Charles_Lister) February 24, 2020
The @UN has run out of cross-border funds & #Syria is blocking supplies from elsewhere.
Meanwhile, #Russia is flattening hospitals, schools & markets. pic.twitter.com/kqPcYV1WUz
Erdoğan's adviser Mesut Hakkı Caşın said Russia, where there are 25 Mn Muslims, will be dismembered from within. "We fought #Russia 16 times in the past, we will do it again, our vengeance will be quite terrible," he said. pic.twitter.com/n75eZ776D9— Ahval (@ahval_en) February 27, 2020
Turkish forces fire on Russian jets in #Idlib - Russian state media— Ahval (@ahval_en) February 28, 2020
[Ahval News] https://t.co/JDoS6C0n6o
UPDATE 2/27/20 at 8:56pm: Added info below.02:10 - Turkey could close Bosporus Straits to Russia, pro-gov't journo— Ahval (@ahval_en) February 28, 2020
Hakan Çelik, a high-profile pro-gvt anchor said Turkey cld close or limits its air space & Bosporus Straits to Russia in case Moscow intervenes in Turkey's mil op against Syrian armyhttps://t.co/trlugTNAER
Sky News published Nov 10, 2019: 'We're going to slaughter you': The children of Syria's Islamic State (ISIS) camp.
Mark Stone visits a refugee camp in northern Syria where 70,000 ISIS women and children are living.
One child, who appears to be under 10 years old, asks our team to repent their sins and calmly says: "We're going to kill you by slaughtering you. We will slaughter you."
The camp is a holding centre for the women and children who emerged from the IS “caliphate” when it fell in March.
Although the al Hol camp was supposed to be temporary, many people remain in the camp in squalid conditions.
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