July 2, 2008

Barclays warns of a financial storm as Federal Reserve's credibility crumbles!

Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) 1 month performance
(>1,000 pt. loss)

Hi everybody. This article released by The Telegraph in the UK pretty much confirms what I have been writing about and alerting you to prepare for with regard to the global economies, the global financial markets, your money etc. Since this article was released last week the financial markets have taken a nose dive, plus oil is hitting new highs currently at $144 and climbing. It is not a pretty picture to say the least.

Plus, ADP Employer Services said today that U.S. private- sector employers slashed 79,000 jobs in June, the largest drop since November 2002, stirring worries that the government's jobs report on Thursday may also come in weak. Click here to read more from a CNBC article. Therefore, please be grateful for the job you have now because 100,000s are without work and 100,000s more job losses are expected via Countrywide, BofA, Starbucks, General Motors to name only a few.

Please click here to read the entire article, seriously this is a MUST READ for everyone. I will post a few snipits.

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Barclays warns of a financial storm as Federal Reserve's credibility crumbles
Last Updated: 12:01am BST 28/06/2008
released by Telegraph.co.uk

US central bank accused of unleashing an inflation shock that will rock financial markets, reports Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Barclays Capital has advised clients to batten down the hatches for a worldwide financial storm, warning that the US Federal Reserve has allowed the inflation genie out of the bottle and let its credibility fall "below zero".

"We're in a nasty environment," said Tim Bond, the bank's chief equity strategist. "There is an inflation shock underway. This is going to be very negative for financial assets. We are going into tortoise mood and are retreating into our shell. Investors will do well if they can preserve their wealth."

Barclays Capital said in its closely-watched Global Outlook that US headline inflation would hit 5.5pc by August and the Fed will have to raise interest rates six times by the end of next year to prevent a wage-spiral. If it hesitates, the bond markets will take matters into their own hands. "This is the first test for central banks in 30 years and they have fluffed it. They have zero credibility, and the Fed is negative if that's possible. It has lost all credibility," said Mr Bond.

The grim verdict on Ben Bernanke's Fed was underscored by the markets yesterday as the dollar fell against the euro following the bank's dovish policy statement on Wednesday.

The Fed's stimulus is being transmitted to the 45-odd countries linked to the dollar around world. The result is surging commodity prices. Global inflation has jumped from 3.2pc to 5pc over the last year.

Mr Bond said the emerging world is now on the cusp of a serious crisis. "Inflation is out of control in Asia. Vietnam has already blown up. The policy response is to shoot the messenger, like the developed central banks in the late 1960s and 1970s," he said.

"They will have to slam on the brakes. There is going to be a deep global recession over the next three years as policy-makers try to get inflation back in the box."

Barclays Capital recommends outright "short" positions on Asian bonds, warning that yields could jump 200 to 300 basis points. The currencies of trade-deficit states like India should be sold. The US yield curve is likely to "steepen" with a vengeance, causing a bloodbath for bond holders.

The bank said the full damage from the global banking crisis would take another year to unfold. [This is just the beginning folks]

5 comments:

Mammoth said...

Good post, Princess. Yes indeed - we are heading directly into a financial storm, the magnitude which few people alive today have ever seen.

And yet - so many of our fellow Americans are still completely clueless. (Take for example an acquaintance who works for WAMU, who just spent $1,800 on an electronic autopilot system for his boat.)

Are YOU ready? Will you be able to get through this o.k.? Got seeds? Got cans of food stashed away up in the attic or down in the basement?

I know you have faith, and that counts for something, but a bit of practicality also would be prudent as well.

Saw the price of a 10# bag of potatoes was over $4 at the local grocery store over the weekend. Yikes - wasn't it $0.99 for a 10# bag for years and years?

-Mammoth

Princess Mononoke said...

Hi Mammoth,

I know I truly wish the common citizens of this nation and that of the world would wake up to this truth. When this financial tsunami literally hits our shores and it will, everybody will NOT know what has hit them for being so distracted by gadgets, fake luxuries, fake wealth and NOT wanting to face reality enough to at least prepare.

I have already begun stock piling water, rice, beans and can goods to start. I'm not totally physically ready, but as you pointed out I am as ready as I'll ever be not knowing the full magnitude of whats coming. I'm definitely not afraid.

The prices of everything across the board has gone up it's insane!

Oh and your acquaintance will find his humbling experience hard to swallow to say the least.

Princess Mononoke said...

Hey when are you taking off to Russia again? Isn't it like this month? Have you and your wife been preparing your home for your new addition to your family?

I am so excited for little Nadia!

Have a great day Mammoth :)

Mammoth said...

Princess,

Yes – we leave for Moscow on July
21st, will undergo physical exams (required), then fly to Kaliningrad on the 24th. Four days later we go to our court hearing, where they will make the final determination of whether we are acceptable parents for the child.

Right now we are busy preparing – got a ½-sized bed and a high chair; other than that the child’s room has been undergoing preparation for a LONG time. (Remember we started the adoption process in April ’04.)

We are also taking care of LOTS of paperwork – no amount is too much, apparently. Waiting on our passports & visa’s to arrive in the mail.

The plan is for me to return home on the 31st, but since there is a 10-business day waiting period plus additional time for more paperwork, plus a return trip to Moscow for more paperwork there, my ‘other half’ will not return home with the child until August 19th.

Ugh…can’t wait for all this to be done with, and the three of us are in our home. Also, we will be away during the hottest, driest portion of the summer, so let’s see what shape the garden will be in upon our return…

Take care,
-Mammoth

Princess Mononoke said...

Wow! That's alot...

I know it's so worth it for both of you or else you two would not have spent so many years waiting for this little blessing to come home to your family. :)

This next month is the end of the finish line for you, catch your breath and just push through it. Your garden will be fine when you return. Do you have any friends or neighbors who can help you out while you're away?

I'm really excited for you both! :)